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Agriculture attracts big bucks

July 4, 2006 5 min read

There is a recurring temptation to treat an olive grove as a tax structure with leaves. Money floods into managed farming schemes not because someone loves olives, but because the write-off is attractive — and the history of that idea is a cautionary tale worth knowing before you fall for the next version.

Tax shelter
the real motive
Managed scheme
you own trees on paper
Long lead
years to first crop
Oversupply
too many groves at once
Boom & bust
the usual arc

Every so often, farming becomes fashionable with people who have never farmed. High earners, chasing a way to reduce a large tax bill, tip serious money into managed agricultural schemes — plantations of olives, almonds, timber or vines, run at arm’s length by a promoter while the investor simply owns a slice on paper. For a while the numbers look wonderful. The trouble is that a tree does not know or care why it was planted, and the logic of a tax deduction and the logic of a good harvest are not the same thing.

1234Where the money planted treesManaged schemes spread olives and almonds across Australia’s southKey olive regionOlive countryHarvest: Apr–Jun (southern autumn)

1Margaret River (WA) 2Riverland (SA) 3Sunraysia (Vic/NSW) 4Hunter Valley (NSW)
Investment-driven plantings clustered in the southern states, often on land bought at a premium for the scheme rather than the soil.

How a grove becomes a financial product

In a managed investment scheme the investor does not really buy a farm; they buy a bundle of promises — that trees will be planted and tended, that a crop will eventually come, and, crucially, that the up-front cost can be set against this year’s income. That last part is the engine. It means the decision to plant can be driven by the tax calendar rather than by soil, water or whether the world actually needs more olives. Sales pitches lean on projected yields years in the future, and projections are the easiest thing in the world to make look good.

Why the trees so often lose

Olives are a slow, patient crop. A new grove takes years to bear properly, wants the right climate and reliable water, and even then swings between heavy and light years. Plant thousands of hectares at once, all chasing the same deduction, and you engineer a glut: everyone’s trees mature together, the crop lands in the same seasons, and the price sags just as the fruit finally arrives. Worse, groves are sometimes established on land bought for the scheme rather than for its suitability, and managed by promoters whose income comes from selling units, not from selling oil. History has been blunt about where this leads — some of the largest agribusiness scheme operators grew spectacularly and then collapsed, taking investors’ money with them.

The grain of truth worth keeping

None of this means olive farming is a bad enterprise. Done for the right reasons — good land, patient capital, someone who actually understands the crop — a grove can be a fine, durable thing. The warning is narrower and sharper: be very careful when the headline reason to plant is the tax treatment rather than the farming. If a scheme’s brochure spends more energy on deductions than on soil, water, variety and who will still be there to run the mill in ten years, you are being sold a financial product wearing a farmer’s hat. For a sense of the real economics behind the fruit, see the true cost of an olive.

Grove as tax scheme Grove as real farming
Planted to suit the tax year Planted to suit soil, water and climate
Run by a promoter at arm’s length Run by someone who knows the crop
Sold on projected future yields Judged on real, local track record
Thousands of hectares at once Scaled to what the land and market bear
Income from selling units Income from selling oil and fruit
Vulnerable to glut and collapse Built to ride the good and lean years

If someone pitches you a grove

  • Ask whether the case rests on farming or on the tax deduction — the honest answer tells you a lot.
  • Scrutinise the land and water, not just the projected yields.
  • Beware everyone planting at once; today’s boom is tomorrow’s glut.
  • Find out who actually runs the grove, and how they are paid.
  • Treat years-out yield projections as sales copy, not fact.

Olive groves as investments: common questions

Why do investors plant olives for tax reasons?

Because the up-front cost of a managed farming scheme can often be offset against income, making the deduction, rather than the crop, the main attraction.

What is wrong with that?

It lets the tax calendar, not the soil or market, drive the decision to plant. Trees planted for a deduction still have to survive real farming, and many do not thrive.

Why do these schemes cause gluts?

When many investors plant at once chasing the same deduction, the groves mature together and the crop floods the same seasons, pushing prices down just as the fruit arrives.

Have such schemes actually failed?

Yes. Some of the largest agribusiness scheme operators expanded rapidly and then collapsed, and investors lost money — a recurring pattern, not a one-off.

Is olive farming a bad investment then?

Not inherently. On good land, with patient capital and real expertise, a grove can be sound. The danger is when the tax break, not the farming, is the reason to plant.

From the trade

I have watched more than one wave of clever money decide that olives were the next sure thing, and the pattern rarely changes: plant for the deduction, plant too much at once, and act surprised when the crop finally lands into a glutted market years later. A grove is a slow, honest business that rewards patience and punishes cleverness. If the pitch talks more about your tax bill than about soil, water and who will run the mill in a decade, keep your money. The trees can tell the difference even when the investor cannot.

Drawn from the history of managed agricultural investment schemes and the economics of establishing olive and nut plantations.